Monday, August 13, 2007
The Iowa straw poll is one of those silly season events that doesn't really mean much, unless it does. It seems to me that Mike Huckabee may well come away from Ames with an upgrade to dark horse status. McCain is bound to hang on for a while, running an Al Sharpton style campaign with no money. It is inevitable that Rudy will blow up, just a matter of time. Thompson is going to have to fish or cut bait pretty soon-- I see Huckabee's appeal as similar, and he has got a little mo' now. Mitt is looking like the guy the old school Republicans are going to back,, and he has the dough at this point, but old school support and dough don't always get it done with the Republican Party. Ask John Connally. Or Phil Gramm. It is possible that Romney's LDS beliefs may sink him, and if that doesn't, it is also possible that his apparent lack of any other core beliefs will do the job. Or maybe the animal lovers will rise up. I think this is anybody's race at this point. Can the man who pardoned Keith Richards do it? Let's put it this way-- I think pardoning Keith was a better move than voting to authorize the Iraq war.
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