Monday, October 22, 2007
This is a pretty cogent analysis of how the Republican presidential nomination race breaks down, and what the members of the field's future prospects might look like. I find the prospect of a Giuliani/Clinton race horrifying, mostly because it seems to me that the rest of the country doesn't really "get" Giuliani. Interestingly, the last time he had a shot at Hillary, he backed away (with the stated reason that he had been diagnosed as having prostate cancer and needed treatment.)
It is interesting that the Republican Party's bench strength seems so thin. In a year where there are so many appealing Democrats, the Republicans can't seem to find anyone who doesn't appear to have multiple potentially fatal flaws. Of course, I could be wrong about this; the fact that Rudy seems to be the front runner may mean that Americans are more tolerant about a candidate's messy personal life than is assumed (they were with Clinton). Giuliani's pro-choice past is probably irrelevant to most people-- it is a fringe issue at this point, which Republicans seem to reckon they can take care of by foisting the lifting over to the judiciary. His 2nd Amendment positions aren't the negative that they might be, and in the general election might swing some city voters his way, keeping, for example, Ohio on the Red side.
It is interesting that the Republican Party's bench strength seems so thin. In a year where there are so many appealing Democrats, the Republicans can't seem to find anyone who doesn't appear to have multiple potentially fatal flaws. Of course, I could be wrong about this; the fact that Rudy seems to be the front runner may mean that Americans are more tolerant about a candidate's messy personal life than is assumed (they were with Clinton). Giuliani's pro-choice past is probably irrelevant to most people-- it is a fringe issue at this point, which Republicans seem to reckon they can take care of by foisting the lifting over to the judiciary. His 2nd Amendment positions aren't the negative that they might be, and in the general election might swing some city voters his way, keeping, for example, Ohio on the Red side.
// posted by Bill @ 7:52 AM 
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